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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Holywell v Briton Ferry: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Bartons North Wales Stadium
1–1
FT
Holywell 14%Draw 21%Briton Ferry 65% Expected goals 1.08 – 2.38
65%
Betarazi pick

Briton Ferry to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultBriton Ferry to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceBriton Ferry or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Holywell vs Briton Ferry: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 26 September the Premier League brings Holywell against Briton Ferry at Bartons North Wales Stadium. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Holywell are 16th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; Briton Ferry are 12th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Holywell, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Haverfordwest County AFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Briton Ferry, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Trefelin, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Holywell 1.1 xG, Briton Ferry 2.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Holywell 14%, draw 21%, Briton Ferry 65%.
  • Lower-risk option: Briton Ferry or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Briton Ferry to win (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holywell 1–2 Briton Ferry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Holywell14%fair 7.16 · @4.20
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.10
Briton Ferry65%fair 1.55 · @1.57
3.46Expected goals
1.08Holywell xG
2.38Briton Ferry xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%

From our goals model: Holywell 1.1 – 2.4 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBriton Ferry to win ✗65%1.551.57
Double chanceBriton Ferry or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.57
Draw no betBriton Ferry (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapBriton Ferry -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.781.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
First team to scoreBriton Ferry to score first ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultBriton Ferry ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Briton Ferry / FT Briton Ferry ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Holywell – last 6

LLLDLL
18 Sep@ Haverfordwest County AFC0–1L
15 Sepvs Colwyn Bay0–5L
11 Sep@ Cambrian & Clydach1–2L
4 Sepvs Trefelin1–1D
31 Aug@ Airbus UK2–6L
28 Augvs Caernarfon Town3–5L
1.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Briton Ferry – last 6

DLLLLL
18 Sepvs Trefelin1–1D
15 Sep@ Penybont2–3L
11 Sep@ Haverfordwest County AFC1–3L
4 Sepvs Airbus UK0–2L
31 Augvs Barry Town1–4L
28 Aug@ Cardiff MET0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Holywell and Briton Ferry.

Holywell vs Briton Ferry head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

Our pick is Briton Ferry to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

On our numbers Holywell have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Briton Ferry 65%.

How many goals will there be in Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

Our predicted score is Holywell 1–2 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

Holywell vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Bartons North Wales Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.