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Colwyn Bay v Haverfordwest County AFC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Llanelian Road
Colwyn Bay 67%Draw 20%Haverfordwest County AFC 14% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.78
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 11.96

Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Colwyn Bay welcome Haverfordwest County AFC to Llanelian Road for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 26 September (14:30 WAT). In the table, Colwyn Bay are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th (lower half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Colwyn Bay, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Barry Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Haverfordwest County AFC, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Holywell, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colwyn Bay 2.0 xG, Haverfordwest County AFC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colwyn Bay 67%, draw 20%, Haverfordwest County AFC 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colwyn Bay 2–0 Haverfordwest County AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colwyn Bay67%fair 1.50 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Haverfordwest County AFC14%fair 7.34 · @5.00
2.81Expected goals
2.03Colwyn Bay xG
0.78Haverfordwest County AFC xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 2.0 – 0.8 Haverfordwest County AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColwyn Bay to win ✓67%1.501.57
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.83
Draw no betColwyn Bay (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapColwyn Bay -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreColwyn Bay to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultColwyn Bay ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%11.96–

Recent results

Colwyn Bay – last 6

WWWLWL
18 Sepvs Barry Town5–2W
15 Sep@ Holywell5–0W
12 Sepvs GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1W
5 Sep@ Penybont0–1L
31 Augvs Llandudno2–0W
28 Aug@ The New Saints1–5L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Haverfordwest County AFC – last 6

WWDWLL
18 Sepvs Holywell1–0W
11 Sepvs Briton Ferry3–1W
4 Sep@ GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1D
31 Augvs Trefelin2–1W
28 Aug@ Llandudno0–2L
21 Augvs Cambrian & Clydach0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County AFC.

Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?

On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Haverfordwest County AFC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?

Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 2–0 Haverfordwest County AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?

Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.