Value bet: Penybont to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPenybont to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.15
Penybont vs Airbus UK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Airbus UK travel to face Penybont on Saturday 26 September in the Premier League, with Bryntirion Park the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Penybont are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 15 matches; Airbus UK are 5th (upper half) with 30.
Current form
Penybont, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Ammanford AFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Airbus UK, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Flint Town United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Penybont, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Airbus UK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penybont 1.8 xG, Airbus UK 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penybont 59%, draw 16%, Airbus UK 25%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Penybont to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penybont 1–1 Airbus UK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penybont59%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @3.50
Airbus UK25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
2.86Expected goals
1.81Penybont xG
1.05Airbus UK xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.8 – 1.1 Airbus UK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✓
59%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Penybont (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Airbus UK +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
First team to score
Penybont to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Penybont ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Penybont – last 6
WWWWDD
18 Sep
@ Ammanford AFC
5–1
W
15 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Trefelin
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Flint Town United
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Airbus UK – last 6
WLLWWL
18 Sep
vs Flint Town United
4–1
W
15 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Holywell
6–2
W
28 Aug
@ Barry Town
2–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penybont and Airbus UK.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Penybont vs Airbus UK?
On our numbers Penybont have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Airbus UK 25%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Airbus UK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Airbus UK?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 Airbus UK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Airbus UK?
Penybont vs Airbus UK (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
