Cardiff MET 25%Draw 18%Caernarfon Town 58%Expected goals 1.36 – 2.20
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Caernarfon Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Caernarfon Town travel to face Cardiff MET on Saturday 26 September in the Premier League, with Cyncoed Campus the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Cardiff MET are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Caernarfon Town are 6th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Cardiff MET, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to GAP Connah S Quay FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Caernarfon Town, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 9–1 win over Cambrian & Clydach, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 4.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Caernarfon Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Cardiff MET.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff MET 1.4 xG, Caernarfon Town 2.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff MET 25%, draw 18%, Caernarfon Town 58%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Caernarfon Town to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff MET 1–2 Caernarfon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff MET25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @3.80
Caernarfon Town58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
3.56Expected goals
1.36Cardiff MET xG
2.20Caernarfon Town xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Cardiff MET 1.4 – 2.2 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Draw no bet
Caernarfon Town (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff MET +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
First team to score
Caernarfon Town to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Cardiff MET – last 6
LDDWWL
18 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Flint Town United
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
5–0
W
28 Aug
vs Briton Ferry
3–0
W
21 Aug
vs The New Saints
0–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Caernarfon Town – last 6
WDWWLW
18 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–1
W
15 Sep
@ Llandudno
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Ammanford AFC
5–0
W
4 Sep
vs Flint Town United
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs The New Saints
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Holywell
5–3
W
4.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff MET and Caernarfon Town.
What is the prediction for Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers Cardiff MET have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Caernarfon Town 58%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is Cardiff MET 1–2 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Cyncoed Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
