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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Newtown AFC v Llanuwchllyn: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · Latham Park
4–0
FT
Newtown AFC 68%Draw 21%Llanuwchllyn 11% Expected goals 2.63 – 1.08
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultNewtown AFC to win ✓68% · @1.33
Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 28 August the FAW Championship brings Newtown AFC against Llanuwchllyn at Latham Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Newtown AFC are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Llanuwchllyn are 11th (lower half) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Newtown AFC, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guilsfield, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Llanuwchllyn, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Bangor City 1876 FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Newtown AFC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Llanuwchllyn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newtown AFC 2.6 xG, Llanuwchllyn 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Newtown AFC 68%, draw 21%, Llanuwchllyn 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newtown AFC 2–1 Llanuwchllyn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newtown AFC68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.75
Llanuwchllyn11%fair 8.97 · @6.50
3.71Expected goals
2.63Newtown AFC xG
1.08Llanuwchllyn xG
54%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Newtown AFC 2.6 – 1.1 Llanuwchllyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewtown AFC to win ✓68%1.461.33
Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✓89%1.131.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Draw no betNewtown AFC (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapNewtown AFC -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreNewtown AFC to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultNewtown AFC ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

Newtown AFC – last 6

DWWLLW
15 Augvs Guilsfield1–1D
8 Augvs Penrhyncoch5–0W
2 Aug@ Gresford Athletic3–0W
8 Apr@ Holywell0–6L
3 Aprvs Mold Alexandra1–2L
24 Marvs Rhyl6–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Llanuwchllyn – last 3

LWL
15 Aug@ Bangor City 1876 FC0–5L
8 Augvs Buckley Town2–1W
1 Aug@ Brickfield Rangers1–5L
1.0Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Llanuwchllyn.

Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?

On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llanuwchllyn 11%.

How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?

Our predicted score is Newtown AFC 2–1 Llanuwchllyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn?

Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Latham Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.