llanelli AFC v Carmarthen Town: numbers & prediction

llanelli AFC vs Carmarthen Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carmarthen Town travel to face llanelli AFC on Friday 28 August in the FAW Championship, with Stebonheath Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, llanelli AFC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 14 matches; Carmarthen Town are 10th (lower half) with 15. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

llanelli AFC, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Cardiff Draconians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Carmarthen Town, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Treowen Stars, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Carmarthen Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for llanelli AFC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give llanelli AFC 1.6 xG, Carmarthen Town 2.9 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – llanelli AFC 20%, draw 16%, Carmarthen Town 64%.
• GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
• Price worth noting: Carmarthen Town to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: llanelli AFC 1–2 Carmarthen Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.