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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Penrhyncoch v Denbigh Town: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales

Penrhyncoch

LLLWL
2–2
FT

Denbigh Town

LLLWW
Penrhyncoch 19%Draw 19%Denbigh Town 62% Expected goals 1.42 – 2.58
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultDenbigh Town to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55

Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 28 August: Penrhyncoch v Denbigh Town in the FAW Championship. In the table, Penrhyncoch are 16th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Denbigh Town are 12th (lower half) with 14. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Penrhyncoch, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Brickfield Rangers, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Denbigh Town, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Porthmadog, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Denbigh Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.6 for Penrhyncoch.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Denbigh Town 1–0 Penrhyncoch.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penrhyncoch 1.4 xG, Denbigh Town 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Penrhyncoch 19%, draw 19%, Denbigh Town 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penrhyncoch 1–2 Denbigh Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Penrhyncoch19%fair 5.24 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.75
Denbigh Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
4.00Expected goals
1.42Penrhyncoch xG
2.58Denbigh Town xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%

From our goals model: Penrhyncoch 1.4 – 2.6 Denbigh Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDenbigh Town to win ✗62%1.611.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.441.40
Draw no betDenbigh Town (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapDenbigh Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreDenbigh Town to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultDenbigh Town ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Denbigh Town / FT Denbigh Town ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.55–

Recent results

Penrhyncoch – last 5

LLLWL
22 Aug@ Brickfield Rangers0–2L
8 Aug@ Newtown AFC0–5L
1 Augvs Porthmadog1–3L
6 Apr@ Caersws2–1W
3 Apr@ Denbigh Town0–1L
0.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Denbigh Town – last 6

LLLWWW
21 Augvs Porthmadog2–3L
14 Aug@ Ruthin Town1–2L
8 Augvs Bangor City 1876 FC1–2L
1 Aug@ Buckley Town4–2W
3 Jul@ Colwyn Bay2–1W
3 Aprvs Penrhyncoch1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Denbigh Town v Penrhyncoch1–0
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Baglan Dragons3 Caerau (Ely)1 111%5.00X22%3.75268%1.53 0.9–2.3xG 2Caerau (Ely) to win 68%@1.53 ✗
FT llanelli AFC2 Carmarthen Town2 120%3.40X16%3.60264%1.75 1.6–2.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Newport City0 Ynyshir Albions1 158%1.73X18%3.80224%3.70 1.8–1.0xG 1Newport City to win 58%@1.73 ✗
FT Bangor City 1876 FC2 Brickfield Rangers1 140%2.10X18%4.00242%2.60 1.8–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Buckley Town3 Guilsfield1 126%3.30X14%3.60260%1.83 1.2–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.40 ✓
FT Newtown AFC4 Llanuwchllyn0 168%1.33X21%4.75211%6.50 2.6–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✓
FT Porthmadog1 Caersws3 149%2.10X20%3.60231%2.70 1.9–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.40 ✓
FT Rhyl1 Bala Town3 134%2.55X19%3.90247%2.15 1.4–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 60%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

On our numbers Penrhyncoch have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Denbigh Town 62%.

How many goals will there be in Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Our predicted score is Penrhyncoch 1–2 Denbigh Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.