Newport City 58%Draw 18%Ynyshir Albions 24%Expected goals 1.80 – 1.03
58%
Betarazi pick
Newport City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewport City to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 17.44
Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newport City welcome Ynyshir Albions for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 28 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Newport City are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Ynyshir Albions are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Newport City, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Baglan Dragons, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Ynyshir Albions, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Caerphilly Athletic, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport City 1.8 xG, Ynyshir Albions 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport City 58%, draw 18%, Ynyshir Albions 24%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newport City to win (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport City 1–0 Ynyshir Albions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport City58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @3.80
Ynyshir Albions24%fair 4.14 · @3.70
2.82Expected goals
1.80Newport City xG
1.03Ynyshir Albions xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Newport City 1.8 – 1.0 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport City to win✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Newport City (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Ynyshir Albions +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Newport City to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Newport City ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport City / FT Newport City✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
17.44
–
Recent results
Newport City – last 6
LWLWLL
21 Aug
vs Baglan Dragons
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Pontardawe Town
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Carmarthen Town
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ llanelli AFC
4–1
W
8 Jul
vs Newport County
0–5
L
3 Apr
@ Ammanford AFC
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ynyshir Albions – last 6
LDWLWL
22 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Caerau (Ely)
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Cardiff Draconians
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–4
L
6 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Llantwit Major
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport City and Ynyshir Albions.
What is the prediction for Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our pick is Newport City to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
On our numbers Newport City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ynyshir Albions 24%.
How many goals will there be in Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our predicted score is Newport City 1–0 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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