Caersws 40%Draw 20%Bala Town 40%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.76
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Caersws to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaersws to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37
Caersws vs Bala Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bala Town travel to face Caersws on Saturday 3 October in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Caersws are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 13 matches; Bala Town are 5th (upper half) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caersws, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Llanuwchllyn, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Bala Town, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Mold Alexandra, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Caersws, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Bala Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caersws 1.8 xG, Bala Town 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caersws 40%, draw 20%, Bala Town 40%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Caersws to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caersws 1–1 Bala Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caersws40%fair 2.48 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.60
Bala Town40%fair 2.51 · @2.05
3.53Expected goals
1.77Caersws xG
1.76Bala Town xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Caersws 1.8 – 1.8 Bala Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caersws to win✗
40%
2.48
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Draw no bet
Caersws (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Bala Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
Caersws to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caersws / FT Caersws✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.37
–
Recent results
Caersws – last 6
WLWWWL
26 Sep
@ Llanuwchllyn
5–2
W
12 Sep
vs Brickfield Rangers
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Ruthin Town
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs Buckley Town
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Porthmadog
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Rhyl
2–4
L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bala Town – last 6
LWLWLW
26 Sep
vs Mold Alexandra
2–4
L
15 Sep
@ Penrhyncoch
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Denbigh Town
2–5
L
5 Sep
@ Porthmadog
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Newtown AFC
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Rhyl
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caersws and Bala Town.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caersws vs Bala Town?
On our numbers Caersws have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bala Town 40%.
How many goals will there be in Caersws vs Bala Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caersws vs Bala Town?
Our predicted score is Caersws 1–1 Bala Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Caersws vs Bala Town?
Caersws vs Bala Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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