Cardiff Draconians 35%Draw 20%Newport City 45%Expected goals 1.26 – 1.49
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewport City to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newport City travel to face Cardiff Draconians on Saturday 3 October in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Cardiff Draconians are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; Newport City are 13th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cardiff Draconians, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Caerau (Ely), at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Newport City, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Afan Lido, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff Draconians 1.3 xG, Newport City 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff Draconians 35%, draw 20%, Newport City 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Newport City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff Draconians35%fair 2.88 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Newport City45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.26Cardiff Draconians xG
1.49Newport City xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.3 – 1.5 Newport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport City to win✗
45%
2.21
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Newport City (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff Draconians +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Newport City to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport City / FT Newport City✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
LWWLDL
26 Sep
vs Caerau (Ely)
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Baglan Dragons
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs llanelli AFC
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Pontypridd Town
1–4
L
7 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Ynyshir Albions
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport City – last 6
DLLWLW
25 Sep
@ Afan Lido
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Ynyshir Albions
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Baglan Dragons
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Pontardawe Town
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Carmarthen Town
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ llanelli AFC
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Newport City.
What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newport City 45%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 1–1 Newport City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City?
Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Buckley Town1
Ruthin Town1
Caersws3
Bala Town3
Guilsfield1
Llanuwchllyn0
Mold Alexandra1
Newtown AFC2
Penrhyncoch0
Gresford Athletic1
Porthmadog1
Bangor City 1876 FC0
Rhyl2
Brickfield Rangers3