Penrhyncoch v Gresford Athletic: numbers & prediction

Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Penrhyncoch v Gresford Athletic in the FAW Championship. In the table, Penrhyncoch are 16th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Gresford Athletic are 15th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Penrhyncoch, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ruthin Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Gresford Athletic, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rhyl, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Gresford Athletic, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Penrhyncoch.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penrhyncoch 2.2 xG, Gresford Athletic 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Penrhyncoch 62%, draw 14%, Gresford Athletic 25%.
• GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Penrhyncoch to win (62%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penrhyncoch 2–1 Gresford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.