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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mold Alexandra v Newtown AFC: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
Mold Alexandra 37%Draw 20%Newtown AFC 43% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.59
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultNewtown AFC to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.46

Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Newtown AFC travel to face Mold Alexandra on Saturday 3 October in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Mold Alexandra are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Newtown AFC are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Mold Alexandra, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Bala Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Newtown AFC, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Porthmadog, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mold Alexandra, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Newtown AFC.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Newtown AFC 1–2 Mold Alexandra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mold Alexandra 1.5 xG, Newtown AFC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mold Alexandra 37%, draw 20%, Newtown AFC 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mold Alexandra 1–1 Newtown AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mold Alexandra37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.50
Newtown AFC43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
3.06Expected goals
1.47Mold Alexandra xG
1.59Newtown AFC xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Mold Alexandra 1.5 – 1.6 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewtown AFC to win ✓43%2.342.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.50
Draw no betNewtown AFC (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapMold Alexandra +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreNewtown AFC to score first50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.46–

Recent results

Mold Alexandra – last 6

WDWWWW
26 Sep@ Bala Town4–2W
12 Sepvs Llanuwchllyn2–2D
6 Sep@ Gresford Athletic5–1W
31 Augvs Bangor City 1876 FC2–1W
28 Aug@ Ruthin Town4–0W
21 Augvs Buckley Town1–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Newtown AFC – last 6

LWWWWD
26 Sepvs Porthmadog0–1L
12 Sep@ Holyhead Hotspur1–0W
5 Sepvs Denbigh Town1–0W
31 Aug@ Bala Town1–0W
28 Augvs Llanuwchllyn4–0W
15 Augvs Guilsfield1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Newtown AFC v Mold Alexandra1–2
Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?

On our numbers Mold Alexandra have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newtown AFC 43%.

How many goals will there be in Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?

Our predicted score is Mold Alexandra 1–1 Newtown AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC?

Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.