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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Porthmadog v Bangor City 1876 FC: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Porthmadog 39%Draw 20%Bangor City 1876 FC 42% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.90
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Bangor City 1876 FC to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBangor City 1876 FC to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.59

Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the FAW Championship brings Porthmadog against Bangor City 1876 FC. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Porthmadog are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 14 matches; Bangor City 1876 FC are 7th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Porthmadog, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Newtown AFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Bangor City 1876 FC, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 2–6 defeat to Buckley Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Porthmadog 1.8 xG, Bangor City 1876 FC 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Porthmadog 39%, draw 20%, Bangor City 1876 FC 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Bangor City 1876 FC to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Porthmadog 1–1 Bangor City 1876 FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Porthmadog39%fair 2.58 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.70
Bangor City 1876 FC42%fair 2.40 · @2.62
3.72Expected goals
1.82Porthmadog xG
1.90Bangor City 1876 FC xG
65%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%

From our goals model: Porthmadog 1.8 – 1.9 Bangor City 1876 FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBangor City 1876 FC to win ✗42%2.402.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.44
Draw no betBangor City 1876 FC (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapPorthmadog +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
First team to scoreBangor City 1876 FC to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bangor City 1876 FC / FT Bangor City 1876 FC ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.59–

Recent results

Porthmadog – last 6

WWLDLW
26 Sep@ Newtown AFC1–0W
12 Sepvs Ruthin Town3–0W
5 Sepvs Bala Town1–2L
31 Aug@ Holyhead Hotspur2–2D
28 Augvs Caersws1–3L
21 Aug@ Denbigh Town3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bangor City 1876 FC – last 6

LWDLWW
25 Sepvs Buckley Town2–6L
12 Sep@ Penrhyncoch5–1W
5 Sepvs Rhyl2–2D
31 Aug@ Mold Alexandra1–2L
28 Augvs Brickfield Rangers2–1W
21 Aug@ Holyhead Hotspur3–2W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Porthmadog and Bangor City 1876 FC.

Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

On our numbers Porthmadog have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bangor City 1876 FC 42%.

How many goals will there be in Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

Our predicted score is Porthmadog 1–1 Bangor City 1876 FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

Porthmadog vs Bangor City 1876 FC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.