Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Sociedad to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Toulouse vs Real Sociedad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 31 July: Toulouse v Real Sociedad in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Toulouse, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rodez, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Real Sociedad, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Aston Villa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Sociedad, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Toulouse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toulouse 1.4 xG, Real Sociedad 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toulouse 33%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad 43%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toulouse 1–1 Real Sociedad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toulouse33%fair 2.99 · @2.66
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Real Sociedad43%fair 2.32 · @2.40
3.05Expected goals
1.38Toulouse xG
1.67Real Sociedad xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Toulouse 1.4 – 1.7 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-5%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.86
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad to win✗
43%
2.32
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Toulouse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Real Sociedad to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Toulouse – last 6
DLLLWL
25 Jul
vs Rodez
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ Lens
1–4
L
17 Apr
@ Lens
2–3
L
3 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Metz
4–3
W
15 Feb
@ Le Havre
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad – last 6
WWDLLD
28 Jul
@ Aston Villa
4–2
W
25 Jul
@ Wolves
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Racing Santander
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs PAU
0–1
L
17 May
vs Valencia
3–4
L
14 May
@ Girona
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toulouse and Real Sociedad.
What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
On our numbers Toulouse have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Sociedad 43%.
How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
Our predicted score is Toulouse 1–1 Real Sociedad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
Toulouse vs Real Sociedad (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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