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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marine v Spalding United: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Rossett Park

Marine

WWWWL
1–0
FT
Marine 37%Draw 21%Spalding United 41% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.19
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds
2

Value bet: Spalding United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpalding United to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.70

Marine vs Spalding United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spalding United travel to face Marine on Saturday 10 October in the National League North, with Rossett Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Marine are 16th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Spalding United are 12th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Marine, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Warrington Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Spalding United, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Bury Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marine 1.1 xG, Spalding United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marine 37%, draw 21%, Spalding United 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Spalding United to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marine 1–1 Spalding United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marine37%fair 2.67 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Spalding United41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
2.30Expected goals
1.11Marine xG
1.19Spalding United xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Marine 1.1 – 1.2 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpalding United to win ✗41%2.422.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.65
Draw no betSpalding United (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapMarine +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreSpalding United to score first ✗47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spalding United / FT Spalding United ✗21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.70–

Recent results

Marine – last 6

WWWWLL
3 Octvs Warrington Town2–0W
26 Sep@ Merthyr Town2–1W
19 Sepvs Radcliffe3–2W
12 Sepvs Darlington 18832–1W
8 Sep@ South Shields1–2L
5 Sepvs Worksop Town0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Spalding United – last 6

WDLWWW
6 Octvs Bury Town4–0W
3 Oct@ Bury Town1–1D
26 Sep@ Chorley1–2L
19 Sepvs Hanley Town2–0W
12 Sepvs Bedford Town2–1W
8 Sep@ Spennymoor Town3–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marine and Spalding United.

Marine vs Spalding United head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marine vs Spalding United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Marine vs Spalding United?

On our numbers Marine have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spalding United 41%.

How many goals will there be in Marine vs Spalding United?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marine vs Spalding United?

Our predicted score is Marine 1–1 Spalding United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Marine vs Spalding United?

Marine vs Spalding United (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.