Value bet: Spalding United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpalding United to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.70
Marine vs Spalding United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spalding United travel to face Marine on Saturday 10 October in the National League North, with Rossett Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Marine are 16th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Spalding United are 12th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Marine, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Warrington Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Spalding United, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Bury Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marine 1.1 xG, Spalding United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marine 37%, draw 21%, Spalding United 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Spalding United to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marine 1–1 Spalding United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marine37%fair 2.67 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Spalding United41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
2.30Expected goals
1.11Marine xG
1.19Spalding United xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Marine 1.1 – 1.2 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✗
41%
2.42
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.65
Draw no bet
Spalding United (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Marine +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Spalding United to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.70
–
Recent results
Marine – last 6
WWWWLL
3 Oct
vs Warrington Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Merthyr Town
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Radcliffe
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Darlington 1883
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ South Shields
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Worksop Town
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spalding United – last 6
WDLWWW
6 Oct
vs Bury Town
4–0
W
3 Oct
@ Bury Town
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Chorley
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Hanley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bedford Town
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marine and Spalding United.
What is the prediction for Marine vs Spalding United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Marine vs Spalding United?
On our numbers Marine have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spalding United 41%.
How many goals will there be in Marine vs Spalding United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marine vs Spalding United?
Our predicted score is Marine 1–1 Spalding United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marine vs Spalding United?
Marine vs Spalding United (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.