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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Exeter City v Oxford United: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · St James Park

Exeter City

WLDDL
2–2
FTPens 4–3

Oxford United

DWWLW
Exeter City 21%Draw 19%Oxford United 59% Expected goals 1.27 – 2.23
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Oxford United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOxford United to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Exeter City vs Oxford United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oxford United travel to face Exeter City on Tuesday 6 October in the EFL Trophy, with St James Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Exeter City, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rotherham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Oxford United, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cambridge United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Oxford United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Exeter City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 1.3 xG, Oxford United 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 21%, draw 19%, Oxford United 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Oxford United to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 1–2 Oxford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Exeter City21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Oxford United59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
3.50Expected goals
1.27Exeter City xG
2.23Oxford United xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Exeter City 1.3 – 2.2 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOxford United to win ✗59%1.691.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.57
Draw no betOxford United (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapExeter City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreOxford United to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultOxford United ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Exeter City – last 6

WLDDLW
3 Octvs Rotherham1–0W
26 Sep@ Bristol Rovers0–1L
22 Sep@ Cheltenham2–2D
19 Sepvs Tranmere0–0D
12 Sep@ Port Vale0–1L
8 Sepvs Tottenham Hotspur U212–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Oxford United – last 6

DWWLWD
19 Sepvs Cambridge United1–1D
12 Sepvs Burton Albion3–0W
5 Sep@ Leicester4–0W
1 Sep@ Huddersfield1–3L
22 Aug@ Stevenage2–1W
15 Augvs Milton Keynes Dons2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Oxford United.

Exeter City vs Oxford United head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff3201+26
2Exeter City3201+16
3Newport County3102-13
4Arsenal U213102-23

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X21%3.40257%1.91 2.0–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 3.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 3.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 120%3.30X21%3.20260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Bradford or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 143%2.50X23%3.10235%2.40 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 115%4.50X20%3.50265%1.62 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 141%2.30X22%3.25238%2.62 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 122%3.10X21%3.80257%1.80 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Exeter City vs Oxford United?

On our numbers Exeter City have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Oxford United 59%.

How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Oxford United?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–2 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Exeter City vs Oxford United (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.