Stevenage vs Leicester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stevenage welcome Leicester to Broadhall Way for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Stevenage, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Walsall, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Leicester, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Fulham U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 3.4 xG, Leicester 3.6 xG – a total near 7.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 97% and GG at 76%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 35%, draw 23%, Leicester 42%.
GG/NG: GG (76%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (76%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 3–3 Leicester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stevenage35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Leicester42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
7.00Expected goals
3.39Stevenage xG
3.61Leicester xG
76%Both score
97%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–35%
3–44%
2–34%
4–34%
3–24%
2–44%
From our goals model: Stevenage 3.4 – 3.6 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✗
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
76%
1.32
1.57 ▲
Draw no bet
Leicester (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Stevenage +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Leicester to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Leicester ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–4✗
4%
23.86
–
Recent results
Stevenage – last 6
WLWWDD
22 Sep
@ Walsall
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Leyton Orient
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Luton
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Barnsley
5–1
W
1 Sep
@ Peterborough
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Doncaster
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leicester – last 6
WDWLWD
22 Sep
vs Fulham U21
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Barnsley
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Stockport County
4–3
W
5 Sep
vs Oxford United
0–4
L
1 Sep
vs Plymouth
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Leicester.
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Leicester?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Stevenage vs Leicester?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leicester 42%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Leicester?
We expect about 7.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score 76% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Leicester?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 3–3 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 7.0 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Leicester?
Stevenage vs Leicester (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Broadhall Way.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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