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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wycombe v Bristol Rovers: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Adams Park

Wycombe

DWWWD
4–1
FT

Bristol Rovers

LWLLW
Wycombe 61%Draw 18%Bristol Rovers 21% Expected goals 2.36 – 1.31
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Wycombe to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultWycombe to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Wycombe vs Bristol Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wycombe welcome Bristol Rovers to Adams Park for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Wycombe are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Bristol Rovers are 1st with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Wycombe, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Reading, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Bristol Rovers, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Crewe, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wycombe 2.4 xG, Bristol Rovers 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wycombe 61%, draw 18%, Bristol Rovers 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Wycombe to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wycombe 2–1 Bristol Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wycombe61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @3.60
Bristol Rovers21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
3.67Expected goals
2.36Wycombe xG
1.31Bristol Rovers xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Wycombe 2.4 – 1.3 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWycombe to win ✓61%1.641.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.44
Draw no betWycombe (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapWycombe -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
First team to scoreWycombe to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultWycombe ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wycombe / FT Wycombe ✓40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Wycombe – last 6

DWWWDL
26 Sepvs Reading2–2D
19 Sep@ Wigan1–0W
15 Sepvs Chelsea U212–1W
12 Sep@ Leyton Orient3–2W
5 Sepvs Milton Keynes Dons3–3D
1 Sepvs Sheffield Wednesday1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bristol Rovers – last 6

LWLLWW
3 Oct@ Crewe1–3L
26 Sepvs Exeter City1–0W
19 Sep@ Gillingham0–3L
12 Sep@ Grimsby0–2L
5 Sepvs Rotherham1–0W
1 Sepvs Colchester2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wycombe and Bristol Rovers.

Wycombe vs Bristol Rovers head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers3300+28
2Plymouth3201+56
3Cheltenham3102-32
4Tottenham Hotspur U213003-42

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X21%3.40257%1.91 2.0–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 3.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 3.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 120%3.30X21%3.20260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Bradford or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 143%2.50X23%3.10235%2.40 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 115%4.50X20%3.50265%1.62 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 141%2.30X22%3.25238%2.62 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 122%3.10X21%3.80257%1.80 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wycombe vs Bristol Rovers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Wycombe vs Bristol Rovers?

On our numbers Wycombe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bristol Rovers 21%.

How many goals will there be in Wycombe vs Bristol Rovers?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wycombe vs Bristol Rovers?

Our predicted score is Wycombe 2–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Wycombe vs Bristol Rovers?

Wycombe vs Bristol Rovers (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Adams Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.