Wednesday 11 November 2026 12 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Plymouth v Swindon Town: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Home Park

Plymouth

WDWLL
2–1
FT

Swindon Town

LWDWD
Plymouth 67%Draw 17%Swindon Town 16% Expected goals 2.50 – 1.15
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.71

Plymouth vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Tuesday 10 November: Plymouth v Swindon Town in the EFL Trophy, played at Home Park. In the table, Plymouth are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Swindon Town are 1st with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Plymouth, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Alvechurch, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Swindon Town, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Milton Keynes Dons, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth 2.5 xG, Swindon Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth 67%, draw 17%, Swindon Town 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth 2–1 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Plymouth67%fair 1.49 · @1.33
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @5.25
Swindon Town16%fair 6.30 · @6.25
3.65Expected goals
2.50Plymouth xG
1.15Swindon Town xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Plymouth 2.5 – 1.1 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth to win ✓67%1.491.33
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.67 ▲
Draw no betPlymouth (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapPlymouth -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
First team to scorePlymouth to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultPlymouth ahead at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✗45%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.71–

Recent results

Plymouth – last 6

WDWLLW
7 Novvs Alvechurch4–0W
31 Octvs Reading0–0D
24 Oct@ Cambridge United3–2W
20 Oct@ Stevenage0–3L
17 Octvs Huddersfield0–2L
10 Octvs AFC Wimbledon2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Swindon Town – last 6

LWDWDL
7 Nov@ Milton Keynes Dons1–2L
31 Octvs Rotherham2–1W
24 Oct@ Bristol Rovers0–0D
20 Oct@ Barnet3–1W
17 Octvs Walsall1–1D
10 Octvs Crewe0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Swindon Town.

Plymouth vs Swindon Town head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers3300+28
2Plymouth3201+56
3Cheltenham3102-32
4Tottenham Hotspur U213003-42

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Crewe1 Wigan2 141%2.20X22%3.25237%2.88 2.0–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Mansfield Town3 Chesterfield5 142%2.05X18%4.00240%2.62 2.0–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✓
FT Stockport County0 Tranmere0 Pens 4–3 168%1.30X20%5.25212%6.25 2.7–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Burton Albion0 Notts County3 133%2.45X19%3.90248%2.25 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Nottingham Forest U213 165%1.73X15%3.90220%3.60 2.4–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.20 ✓
FT Huddersfield4 Liverpool U210 165%1.28X16%5.00218%7.00 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Oxford United4 Cheltenham0 169%1.22X20%6.00211%8.50 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Leicester2 Walsall1 174%1.22X17%6.2529%7.50 3.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

On our numbers Plymouth have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Swindon Town 16%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Our predicted score is Plymouth 2–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Plymouth vs Swindon Town?

Plymouth vs Swindon Town (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.