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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Wimbledon v Barnet: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Plough Lane

AFC Wimbledon

DDWWL
0–0
FTPens 7–8

Barnet

WWDDD
AFC Wimbledon 39%Draw 21%Barnet 40% Expected goals 2.23 – 2.27
72%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarnet to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.68

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: AFC Wimbledon v Barnet in the EFL Trophy, played at Plough Lane. In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Barnet are 3rd with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

AFC Wimbledon, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cambridge United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Barnet, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fleetwood Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Wimbledon 2.2 xG, Barnet 2.3 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 72% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Wimbledon 39%, draw 21%, Barnet 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Wimbledon 2–2 Barnet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Wimbledon39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Barnet40%fair 2.50 · @2.62
4.50Expected goals
2.23AFC Wimbledon xG
2.27Barnet xG
72%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
1–26%
2–16%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%

From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 2.2 – 2.3 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnet to win ✗40%2.502.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗72%1.391.50 ▲
Draw no betBarnet (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapAFC Wimbledon +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
First team to scoreBarnet to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultBarnet ahead at half-time ✗35%2.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnet / FT Barnet ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6%15.68–

Recent results

AFC Wimbledon – last 6

DDWWLW
26 Sep@ Cambridge United1–1D
17 Sepvs Milton Keynes Dons0–0D
12 Sepvs Doncaster1–0W
7 Sep@ Bromley2–0W
2 Sep@ Burton Albion1–4L
30 Augvs Wigan1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Barnet – last 6

WWDDDW
19 Sepvs Fleetwood Town3–1W
12 Sepvs Accrington ST2–1W
5 Sep@ Chesterfield3–3D
1 Sep@ Exeter City1–1D
29 Augvs Cheltenham2–2D
22 Aug@ Shrewsbury3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Barnet.

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage3300+89
2AFC Wimbledon3201-16
3Bromley3102-22
4Crystal Palace U213003-51

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X21%3.40257%1.91 2.0–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 3.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 3.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 120%3.30X21%3.20260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Bradford or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 143%2.50X23%3.10235%2.40 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 115%4.50X20%3.50265%1.62 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 141%2.30X22%3.25238%2.62 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 122%3.10X21%3.80257%1.80 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barnet 40%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 2–2 Barnet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Plough Lane.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.