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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

União Santarém v Academica: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

União Santarém

LDDDL
0–0
FT

Academica

WLLLD
União Santarém 29%Draw 21%Academica 50% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.69
60%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: União Santarém to win @ 4.00 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAcademica to win ✗50% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.01

União Santarém vs Academica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Friday 31 July: União Santarém v Academica in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

União Santarém, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Amarante, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Academica, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Porto B, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 6. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended União Santarém 1–1 Academica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give União Santarém 1.4 xG, Academica 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – União Santarém 29%, draw 21%, Academica 50%.
  • Price worth noting: União Santarém to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Santarém 1–2 Academica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

União Santarém29%fair 3.51 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.10
Academica50%fair 1.98 · @1.60
3.10Expected goals
1.41União Santarém xG
1.69Academica xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
0–26%
2–26%

From our goals model: União Santarém 1.4 – 1.7 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

União SantarémAcademica
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-13%-14%
Goals conceded vs average-10%+7%
Our expected goals here1.601.54

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAcademica to win ✗50%1.981.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betAcademica (draw no bet)64%1.57–
Asian handicapUnião Santarém +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreAcademica to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Academica / FT Academica ✗27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.01–

Recent results

União Santarém – last 6

LDDDLW
10 May@ Amarante0–1L
2 May@ CF Os Belenenses1–1D
26 Aprvs Academica1–1D
19 Apr@ Guimaraes B1–1D
3 Apr@ Mafra1–2L
4 Marvs Mafra3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Academica – last 6

WLLLDL
25 Jul@ FC Porto B3–1W
22 Jul@ Tondela1–2L
18 Jul@ Guimaraes0–2L
15 Jul@ Torreense0–5L
26 Apr@ União Santarém1–1D
4 Apr@ Guimaraes B0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026União Santarém v Academica1–1
União Santarém vs Academica head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Alaves3 Castellón0 154%1.73X24%3.50222%4.00 1.8–1.1xG 1Alaves to win 54%@1.73 ✓
FT Elche2 Cordoba2 156%1.80X23%3.60221%4.20 1.7–1.0xG 1XElche or draw 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Albacete1 Real Madrid II2 149%1.80X27%3.50225%3.85 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.36 ✓
FT Las Palmas0 NEOM1 143%1.91X24%3.60233%3.30 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT 1. FC Köln2 Hertha BSC2 148%1.84X20%4.30232%3.40 2.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 79%@1.28 ✓
FT Fortuna Düsseldorf II2 TSV Steinbach4 131%3.25X23%4.00246%1.80 1.8–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓
FT FSV Mainz 051 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0 149%2.25X23%3.40228%2.62 2.3–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.75 ✗
FT Den Bosch2 Al-Fayha0 148%2.25X23%3.60229%2.65 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Academica?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win União Santarém vs Academica?

On our numbers União Santarém have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Academica 50%.

How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs Academica?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Academica?

Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–2 Academica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is União Santarém vs Academica?

União Santarém vs Academica (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.