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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Austria Vienna v FK Liepaja: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Generali Arena

Austria Vienna

WWWDD
3–1
FT

FK Liepaja

WLWLW
Austria Vienna 70%Draw 19%FK Liepaja 11% Expected goals 2.04 – 0.78
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAustria Vienna to win ✓70% · @1.18
Double chanceAustria Vienna or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FK Liepaja travel to face Austria Vienna on Thursday 30 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Generali Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Austria Vienna, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Wiener SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FK Liepaja, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FS Jelgava, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Austria Vienna, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for FK Liepaja.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended FK Liepaja 0–2 Austria Vienna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austria Vienna 2.0 xG, FK Liepaja 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Austria Vienna 70%, draw 19%, FK Liepaja 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austria Vienna 2–0 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austria Vienna70%fair 1.42 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @6.25
FK Liepaja11%fair 9.50 · @11.50
2.82Expected goals
2.04Austria Vienna xG
0.78FK Liepaja xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Austria Vienna 2.0 – 0.8 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustria Vienna to win ✓70%1.421.18
Double chanceAustria Vienna or draw ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.842.00 ▲
Draw no betAustria Vienna (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapAustria Vienna -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.591.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.261.25
First team to scoreAustria Vienna to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultAustria Vienna ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Austria Vienna / FT Austria Vienna ✓43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Austria Vienna – last 6

WWWDDW
26 Jul@ Wiener SC5–0W
23 Jul@ FK Liepaja2–0W
17 Julvs Paks4–1W
8 Julvs Dunajska Streda1–1D
4 Julvs Debreceni VSC1–1D
26 Jun@ Parndorf4–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Liepaja – last 6

WLWLWL
26 Jul@ FS Jelgava2–0W
23 Julvs Austria Vienna0–2L
15 Jul@ Dečić2–1W
11 Jul@ Auda0–1L
9 Julvs Dečić1–0W
4 Jul@ BFC Daugavpils1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026FK Liepaja v Austria Vienna0–2
Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT FK Tobol Kostanay1 Panevėžys1 Pens 3–2 161%1.25X22%5.10217%10.75 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓
FT Auda4 FCSB1 128%4.55X23%3.85249%1.64 1.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT FK Jablonec2 NK Varazdin0 151%1.64X27%3.85222%4.55 1.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT FC Noah2 Zimbru1 159%1.29X22%4.90219%9.10 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Ilves1 Stjarnan0 Pens 5–4 160%1.69X21%3.85219%4.20 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 128%4.45X26%3.70247%1.68 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 144%2.88X21%3.70235%2.12 2.1–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 149%2.10X25%3.25225%3.30 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?

On our numbers Austria Vienna have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FK Liepaja 11%.

How many goals will there be in Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?

Our predicted score is Austria Vienna 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?

Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Generali Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.