AD Marco 09 45%Draw 23%Guimaraes B 33%Expected goals 1.24 – 0.99
58%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultAD Marco 09 to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.53
AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: AD Marco 09 v Guimaraes B in the Liga 3, played at Municipal de Marco de Canaveses. In the table, AD Marco 09 are 3rd, among the top four, on 14 points after 9 matches; Guimaraes B are 5th (upper half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AD Marco 09, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with São João Ver, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guimaraes B, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Trofense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AD Marco 09, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Guimaraes B.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Marco 09 1.2 xG, Guimaraes B 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Marco 09 45%, draw 23%, Guimaraes B 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Marco 09 1–0 Guimaraes B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Marco 0945%fair 2.23 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Guimaraes B33%fair 3.06 · @2.90
2.23Expected goals
1.24AD Marco 09 xG
0.99Guimaraes B xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: AD Marco 09 1.2 – 1.0 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Marco 09 to win✓
45%
2.23
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
AD Marco 09 (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Guimaraes B +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
AD Marco 09 to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Marco 09 / FT AD Marco 09✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.53
–
Recent results
AD Marco 09 – last 6
DWWLWD
6 Sep
@ São João Ver
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Régua
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vianense
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Varzim
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guimaraes B – last 6
DDWLWL
5 Sep
vs Trofense
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Fafe
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Leça
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Paredes
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Chaves
3–2
W
3 May
vs Mafra
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Marco 09 and Guimaraes B.
What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guimaraes B 33%.
How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
Our predicted score is AD Marco 09 1–0 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B?
AD Marco 09 vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Marco de Canaveses.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
