Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultLusitano Évora 1911 to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceLusitano Évora 1911 or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.75
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lusitano Évora 1911 welcome SC Covilha for a Liga 3 fixture on Saturday 12 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; SC Covilha are 9th (upper half) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lusitano Évora 1911, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Louletano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
SC Covilha, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mafra, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitano Évora 1911 1.1 xG, SC Covilha 0.3 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 84% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitano Évora 1911 59%, draw 26%, SC Covilha 15%.
Lower-risk option: Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lusitano Évora 1911 to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 SC Covilha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitano Évora 191159%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
SC Covilha15%fair 6.59 · @5.00
1.38Expected goals
1.06Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
0.32SC Covilha xG
42%Both score
16%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–027%
0–025%
2–014%
1–19%
0–18%
3–05%
From our goals model: Lusitano Évora 1911 1.1 – 0.3 SC Covilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Double chance
Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Draw no bet
Lusitano Évora 1911 (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
SC Covilha +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Lusitano Évora 1911 to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitano Évora 1911 / FT Lusitano Évora 1911✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.75
–
Recent results
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
LLWDLD
6 Sep
@ Louletano
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Mafra
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Caldas
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SC Covilha – last 6
LDLDWD
5 Sep
@ Mafra
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Mortágua
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs União Santarém
2–0
W
1 May
vs Amora
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and SC Covilha.
What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
Our pick is Lusitano Évora 1911 to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
On our numbers Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SC Covilha 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 16% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
Our predicted score is Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 SC Covilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
