Oliveirense vs Mafra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mafra travel to face Oliveirense on Saturday 12 September in the Liga 3, with Estadio Carlos Osorio the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Oliveirense are 3rd, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; Mafra are 5th (upper half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oliveirense, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atlético CP, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Mafra, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SC Covilha, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mafra, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Oliveirense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oliveirense 1.3 xG, Mafra 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oliveirense 34%, draw 23%, Mafra 43%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oliveirense 1–1 Mafra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oliveirense34%fair 2.93 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Mafra43%fair 2.35 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.28Oliveirense xG
1.47Mafra xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Oliveirense 1.3 – 1.5 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✗
43%
2.35
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Mafra (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Oliveirense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Mafra to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Oliveirense – last 6
LWWDDL
6 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Penalva Castelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
3–2
W
14 Aug
@ União Santarém
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Louletano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mafra – last 6
WDLDWW
5 Sep
vs SC Covilha
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atlético Malveira
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
5–0
W
25 Jul
vs Alverca
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oliveirense and Mafra.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Oliveirense vs Mafra?
On our numbers Oliveirense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mafra 43%.
How many goals will there be in Oliveirense vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oliveirense vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Oliveirense 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Oliveirense vs Mafra?
Oliveirense vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Osorio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
