Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.34Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeça to win ✓43% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.26
Trofense vs Leça: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Liga 3 brings Trofense against Leça. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Trofense are 10th, upper half, on 5 points after 9 matches; Leça are 2nd (among the top four) with 14.
Current form
Trofense, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guimaraes B, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Leça, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Fafe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trofense 0.9 xG, Leça 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trofense 34%, draw 23%, Leça 43%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.86.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trofense 1–1 Leça. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trofense34%fair 2.97 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.08
Leça43%fair 2.31 · @2.32
2.06Expected goals
0.94Trofense xG
1.12Leça xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Trofense 0.9 – 1.1 Leça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leça to win✓
43%
2.31
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.86
Draw no bet
Leça (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Trofense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Leça to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leça / FT Leça✓
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.26
–
Recent results
Trofense – last 6
DLWLLD
5 Sep
@ Guimaraes B
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Varzim
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Vianense
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Varzim
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ AVS
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leça – last 6
LWLDDL
6 Sep
vs Fafe
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Paredes
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Guimaraes B
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trofense and Leça.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Trofense vs Leça?
On our numbers Trofense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leça 43%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs Leça?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs Leça?
Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 Leça, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs Leça?
Trofense vs Leça (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
