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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fazendense v Nazarenos: numbers & prediction

2–3
FT
Fazendense 37%Draw 21%Nazarenos 41% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.61
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultNazarenos to win ✓41% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Fazendense vs Nazarenos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C brings Fazendense against Nazarenos. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Fazendense are 14th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 8 matches; Nazarenos are 11th (lower half) with 8.

Current form

Fazendense, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Fátima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Nazarenos, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sertanense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fazendense 1.5 xG, Nazarenos 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fazendense 37%, draw 21%, Nazarenos 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fazendense 1–1 Nazarenos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fazendense37%fair 2.68 · @2.44
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.32
Nazarenos41%fair 2.42 · @2.43
3.13Expected goals
1.52Fazendense xG
1.61Nazarenos xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Fazendense 1.5 – 1.6 Nazarenos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNazarenos to win ✓41%2.422.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.57
Draw no betNazarenos (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapFazendense +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
First team to scoreNazarenos to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nazarenos / FT Nazarenos ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

Fazendense – last 6

LLLLLW
1 Nov@ Fátima1–6L
25 Octvs Os Marialvas1–2L
17 Octvs Estrela1–2L
11 Oct@ Atlético Malveira1–3L
27 Sep@ FC Alverca II0–5L
20 Sepvs Ginásio Figueirense6–1W
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Nazarenos – last 6

DDWLLL
1 Novvs Sertanense0–0D
25 Octvs Oliveira Hospital1–1D
11 Oct@ Fátima3–1W
13 Sepvs Os Marialvas0–3L
6 Sep@ Atlético Malveira0–3L
30 Augvs Vitória de Sernache0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fazendense and Nazarenos.

Fazendense vs Nazarenos head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os Marialvas8611+1119
2Oliveira Hospital8521+517
3O Elvas8512+516
4Mortágua8431+615
5Atlético Malveira8332+112
6UD da Serra8332+112
7Fátima8323+511
8Benfica Castelo Branco8314-610
9FC Alverca II8314+510
10AD Nogueirense8161-29
11Nazarenos8224-68
12Naval 18938215-47
13Sertanense8053-55
14Fazendense8017-161

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

On our numbers Fazendense have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nazarenos 41%.

How many goals will there be in Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

Our predicted score is Fazendense 1–1 Nazarenos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

Fazendense vs Nazarenos (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.