UD da Serra vs Fátima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fátima travel to face UD da Serra on Sunday 8 November in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C, with Campo da Portela the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, UD da Serra are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; Fátima are 7th (upper half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
UD da Serra, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Os Marialvas, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Fátima, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Fazendense, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UD da Serra 1.5 xG, Fátima 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UD da Serra 43%, draw 23%, Fátima 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: UD da Serra 1–1 Fátima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UD da Serra43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.18
Fátima35%fair 2.88 · @2.51
2.85Expected goals
1.51UD da Serra xG
1.33Fátima xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: UD da Serra 1.5 – 1.3 Fátima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD da Serra to win✗
43%
2.34
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
UD da Serra (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Fátima +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
UD da Serra to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD da Serra / FT UD da Serra✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
UD da Serra – last 6
LDDWWD
1 Nov
@ Os Marialvas
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Atlético Malveira
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Vitoria Setubal
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ O Elvas
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Amora
4–3
W
13 Sep
vs Mortágua
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fátima – last 6
WDWLWL
1 Nov
vs Fazendense
6–1
W
25 Oct
@ Sertanense
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Academico Viseu
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Nazarenos
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Vinhais
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD da Serra and Fátima.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win UD da Serra vs Fátima?
On our numbers UD da Serra have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fátima 35%.
How many goals will there be in UD da Serra vs Fátima?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD da Serra vs Fátima?
Our predicted score is UD da Serra 1–1 Fátima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is UD da Serra vs Fátima?
UD da Serra vs Fátima (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Portela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
