Value bet: Atlético Malveira to win @ 3.04 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNaval 1893 to win ✗39% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Naval 1893 v Atlético Malveira in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C. In the table, Naval 1893 are 12th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 8 matches; Atlético Malveira are 5th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Naval 1893, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to O Elvas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Atlético Malveira, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Benfica Castelo Branco, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Atlético Malveira, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Naval 1893.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naval 1893 1.3 xG, Atlético Malveira 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naval 1893 39%, draw 23%, Atlético Malveira 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.76.
Price worth noting: Atlético Malveira to win @3.04 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naval 1893 1–1 Atlético Malveira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naval 189339%fair 2.55 · @2.13
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Atlético Malveira38%fair 2.63 · @3.04
2.58Expected goals
1.31Naval 1893 xG
1.28Atlético Malveira xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Naval 1893 1.3 – 1.3 Atlético Malveira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naval 1893 to win✗
39%
2.55
2.13
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.76
Draw no bet
Naval 1893 (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Malveira +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Naval 1893 to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naval 1893 / FT Naval 1893✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
Naval 1893 – last 6
LLDLWL
1 Nov
@ O Elvas
1–3
L
25 Oct
vs Mortágua
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ AD Nogueirense
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs FC Alverca II
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Oliveira Hospital
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlético Malveira – last 6
DDWDWD
1 Nov
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ UD da Serra
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Fazendense
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Sertanense
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Nazarenos
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Mafra
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naval 1893 and Atlético Malveira.
What is the prediction for Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
On our numbers Naval 1893 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Malveira 38%.
How many goals will there be in Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
Our predicted score is Naval 1893 1–1 Atlético Malveira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
