Value bet: Oliveira Hospital to win @ 1.86 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOliveira Hospital to win ✓59% · @1.86
Double chanceOliveira Hospital or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.54
Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sertanense welcome Oliveira Hospital for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C fixture on Sunday 8 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Sertanense are 13th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 8 matches; Oliveira Hospital are 2nd (among the top four) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sertanense, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nazarenos, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Oliveira Hospital, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with AD Nogueirense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Oliveira Hospital, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Sertanense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sertanense 0.8 xG, Oliveira Hospital 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sertanense 16%, draw 25%, Oliveira Hospital 59%.
Lower-risk option: Oliveira Hospital or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: Oliveira Hospital to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sertanense 0–2 Oliveira Hospital. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sertanense16%fair 6.10 · @3.68
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.20
Oliveira Hospital59%fair 1.70 · @1.86
2.51Expected goals
0.79Sertanense xG
1.72Oliveira Hospital xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sertanense 0.8 – 1.7 Oliveira Hospital expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oliveira Hospital to win✓
59%
1.70
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Oliveira Hospital or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.87
Draw no bet
Oliveira Hospital (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Sertanense +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Oliveira Hospital to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oliveira Hospital / FT Oliveira Hospital✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Sertanense – last 6
DDDLDL
1 Nov
@ Nazarenos
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Fátima
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Os Marialvas
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ O Elvas
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Atlético Malveira
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Alcains
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Oliveira Hospital – last 6
DDDWDW
1 Nov
vs AD Nogueirense
3–3
D
25 Oct
@ Nazarenos
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Olhanense
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs FC Alverca II
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Juventude Évora
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Fátima
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sertanense and Oliveira Hospital.
What is the prediction for Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital?
On our numbers Sertanense have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oliveira Hospital 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital?
Our predicted score is Sertanense 0–2 Oliveira Hospital, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital?
Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
