Alvarado 66%Draw 24%Argentino Monte Maíz 9%Expected goals 1.53 – 0.39
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlvarado to win ✗66% · @1.42
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.44
Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alvarado welcome Argentino Monte Maíz for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 23 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Alvarado are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Argentino Monte Maíz are 17th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Alvarado, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villa Mitre, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Argentino Monte Maíz, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olimpo Bahia Blanca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Alvarado, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Argentino Monte Maíz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alvarado 1.5 xG, Argentino Monte Maíz 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alvarado 66%, draw 24%, Argentino Monte Maíz 9%.
GG/NG: NG (61%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvarado 1–0 Argentino Monte Maíz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alvarado66%fair 1.51 · @1.42
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
Argentino Monte Maíz9%fair 10.83 · @7.50
1.92Expected goals
1.53Alvarado xG
0.39Argentino Monte Maíz xG
39%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
2–017%
0–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alvarado 1.5 – 0.4 Argentino Monte Maíz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvarado to win✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Double chance
Alvarado or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.36
Draw no bet
Alvarado (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Alvarado -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Alvarado to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alvarado / FT Alvarado✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.44
–
Recent results
Alvarado – last 6
DWWDWL
16 Aug
@ Villa Mitre
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs Huracan Las Heras
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Juventud Antoniana
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Santamarina
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Germinal de Rawson
5–0
W
28 Jun
@ Villa Mitre
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Argentino Monte Maíz – last 6
DLLLDD
16 Aug
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1
D
12 Aug
@ Cipolletti
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atenas
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ San Martín Mendoza
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Atenas
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvarado and Argentino Monte Maíz.
What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Argentino Monte Maíz 9%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Argentino Monte Maíz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Alvarado vs Argentino Monte Maíz (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
