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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guillermo Brown v Santamarina: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Raul Conti
1–0
FT
Guillermo Brown 58%Draw 25%Santamarina 18% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.64
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuillermo Brown to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceGuillermo Brown or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.55

Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Guillermo Brown v Santamarina in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Raul Conti. In the table, Guillermo Brown are 34th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Santamarina are 36th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

Guillermo Brown, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Costa Brava, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Santamarina, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fundacion Amigos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Santamarina 0–2 Guillermo Brown.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guillermo Brown 1.4 xG, Santamarina 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guillermo Brown 58%, draw 25%, Santamarina 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guillermo Brown 1–0 Santamarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guillermo Brown58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Santamarina18%fair 5.63 · @4.50
2.08Expected goals
1.44Guillermo Brown xG
0.64Santamarina xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Guillermo Brown 1.4 – 0.6 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuillermo Brown to win ✓58%1.731.75
Double chanceGuillermo Brown or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.57
Draw no betGuillermo Brown (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapSantamarina +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.591.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreGuillermo Brown to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guillermo Brown / FT Guillermo Brown ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.55–

Recent results

Guillermo Brown – last 6

LWLLWL
16 Aug@ Costa Brava0–1L
12 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.2–1W
8 Aug@ Circulo Deportivo0–1L
2 Aug@ Deportivo Rincon0–2L
26 Julvs Germinal de Rawson2–0W
12 Jul@ Villa Mitre0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Santamarina – last 6

WLLLLD
17 Augvs Fundacion Amigos2–0W
12 Aug@ Germinal de Rawson1–5L
8 Augvs San Martín Mendoza0–1L
2 Aug@ Sol de Mayo0–1L
26 Jul@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–2L
11 Julvs Alvarado0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Santamarina v Guillermo Brown0–2
Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina?

On our numbers Guillermo Brown have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santamarina 18%.

How many goals will there be in Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina?

Our predicted score is Guillermo Brown 1–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina?

Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Raul Conti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.