Independiente De Chivilcoy v Tucuman Central: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Raul Orlando Lungarzo

Tucuman Central

LLDLD

Independiente De Chivilcoy 66%Draw 25%Tucuman Central 9% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.53

79%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓66% · @1.48

Double chanceIndependiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓91% · @1.08

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.58

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Torneo Federal A brings Independiente De Chivilcoy against Tucuman Central at Raul Orlando Lungarzo. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Tucuman Central are 32nd (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportivo Las Parejas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tucuman Central, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atletico Escobar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.7 xG, Tucuman Central 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente De Chivilcoy 66%, draw 25%, Tucuman Central 9%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Tucuman Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente De Chivilcoy66%fair 1.52 · @1.48

Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50

Tucuman Central9%fair 10.90 · @6.25

2.28Expected goals

1.75Independiente De Chivilcoy xG

0.53Tucuman Central xG

47%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%

2–016%

0–010%

1–110%

3–09%

2–18%

From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.7 – 0.5 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Independiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓	66%	1.52	1.48
Double chance	Independiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓	91%	1.10	1.08
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	1.50
Draw no bet	Independiente De Chivilcoy (draw no bet) ✓	88%	1.14	–
Asian handicap	Independiente De Chivilcoy -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.06
First team to score	Independiente De Chivilcoy to score first ✓	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Independiente De Chivilcoy ahead at half-time ✓	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Independiente De Chivilcoy / FT Independiente De Chivilcoy ✓	42%	2.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	18%	5.58	–

Recent results

Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6

DLDDLD

16 Aug	@ Sportivo Las Parejas	0–0	D
12 Aug	vs Sarmiento Resistencia	1–2	L
8 Aug	@ Boca Unidos	1–1	D
26 Jul	vs Sportivo Las Parejas	1–1	D
12 Jul	@ El Linqueño	1–2	L
5 Jul	@ Sportivo Belgrano	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Tucuman Central – last 6

LLDLDL

16 Aug	vs Atletico Escobar	2–3	L
12 Aug	@ Defensores de Vilelas	3–4	L
8 Aug	vs El Linqueño	1–1	D
2 Aug	@ Gimnasia Concepción	0–4	L
26 Jul	vs Sarmiento de La Banda	1–1	D
12 Jul	@ Juventud Antoniana	1–3	L

1.3Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Independiente De Chivilcoy and Tucuman Central.

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Fundacion Amigos2

Sol de Mayo0 161%1.62X25%3.30213%5.25 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Germinal de Rawson0

San Martín Mendoza0 158%1.90X22%3.00220%4.00 1.3–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Guillermo Brown1

Santamarina0 158%1.75X25%3.10218%4.50 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Alvarado1

Argentino Monte Maíz1 166%1.42X24%3.6029%7.50 1.5–0.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓

Cipolletti2

Atenas2 163%1.80X23%2.90214%4.50 1.4–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✗

Olimpo Bahia Blanca1

Kimberley Mar del Plata0 159%1.70X22%3.00219%5.00 1.2–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✓

Defensores de Vilelas0

El Linqueño0 161%1.85X22%3.10217%3.90 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Bartolomé Mitre0

Douglas Haig3 144%2.05X24%2.88231%3.50 1.1–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tucuman Central 9%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central?

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.