Olimpo Bahia Blanca v Kimberley Mar del Plata: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti

Kimberley Mar del Plata

WLWDW

Olimpo Bahia Blanca 59%Draw 22%Kimberley Mar del Plata 19% Expected goals 1.25 – 0.50

69%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating

1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✓59% · @1.70

Double chanceOlimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓81% · @1.11

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.60

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kimberley Mar del Plata travel to face Olimpo Bahia Blanca on Sunday 23 August in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 16 matches; Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th (upper half) with 26.

Current form

Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentino Monte Maíz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cipolletti, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.2 xG, Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpo Bahia Blanca 59%, draw 22%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 19%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpo Bahia Blanca59%fair 1.68 · @1.70

Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.00

Kimberley Mar del Plata19%fair 5.26 · @5.00

1.75Expected goals

1.25Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG

0.50Kimberley Mar del Plata xG

43%Both score

31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%

0–017%

2–014%

1–111%

0–19%

2–17%

From our goals model: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.2 – 0.5 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✓	59%	1.68	1.70
Double chance	Olimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.11
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	1.50
Draw no bet	Olimpo Bahia Blanca (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	Kimberley Mar del Plata +1 (Asian handicap)	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	57%	1.74	1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.07	1.04
First team to score	Olimpo Bahia Blanca to score first ✓	59%	1.69	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Olimpo Bahia Blanca / FT Olimpo Bahia Blanca ✗	32%	3.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	22%	4.60	–

Recent results

Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6

DWWDWW

16 Aug	@ Argentino Monte Maíz	1–1	D
12 Aug	vs Villa Mitre	2–0	W
8 Aug	@ Huracan Las Heras	1–0	W
2 Aug	vs Juventud Antoniana	0–0	D
26 Jul	vs Santamarina	2–0	W
12 Jul	@ Germinal de Rawson	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

0.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 6

WLWDWW

16 Aug	vs Cipolletti	3–1	W
13 Aug	@ Atenas	1–2	L
3 Aug	vs Argentino Monte Maíz	1–0	W
24 Jul	vs Circulo Deportivo	1–1	D
5 Jul	@ Sol de Mayo	2–1	W
28 Jun	vs Guillermo Brown	3–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026

Olimpo Bahia Blanca v Kimberley Mar del Plata

0–0

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Fundacion Amigos2

Sol de Mayo0 161%1.62X25%3.30213%5.25 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Germinal de Rawson0

San Martín Mendoza0 158%1.90X22%3.00220%4.00 1.3–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Guillermo Brown1

Santamarina0 158%1.75X25%3.10218%4.50 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Alvarado1

Argentino Monte Maíz1 166%1.42X24%3.6029%7.50 1.5–0.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓

Cipolletti2

Atenas2 163%1.80X23%2.90214%4.50 1.4–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✗

Defensores de Vilelas0

El Linqueño0 161%1.85X22%3.10217%3.90 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Independiente De Chivilcoy2

Tucuman Central0 166%1.48X25%3.5029%6.25 1.7–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓

Bartolomé Mitre0

Douglas Haig3 144%2.05X24%2.88231%3.50 1.1–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

On our numbers Olimpo Bahia Blanca have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 19%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Our predicted score is Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.