Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Defensores de Vilelas to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDefensores de Vilelas to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceDefensores de Vilelas or draw ✓83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Defensores de Vilelas v El Linqueño in the Torneo Federal A. In the table, Defensores de Vilelas are 24th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; El Linqueño are 26th (lower half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Defensores de Vilelas, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gimnasia Concepción, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
El Linqueño, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gimnasia Concepción, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensores de Vilelas 1.7 xG, El Linqueño 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores de Vilelas 61%, draw 22%, El Linqueño 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Defensores de Vilelas to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores de Vilelas 1–0 El Linqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensores de Vilelas61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.10
El Linqueño17%fair 5.91 · @3.90
2.38Expected goals
1.67Defensores de Vilelas xG
0.72El Linqueño xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Defensores de Vilelas 1.7 – 0.7 El Linqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores de Vilelas to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Defensores de Vilelas or draw✓
83%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Defensores de Vilelas (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Defensores de Vilelas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Defensores de Vilelas to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensores de Vilelas / FT Defensores de Vilelas✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Defensores de Vilelas – last 6
LWDWLW
16 Aug
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Tucuman Central
4–3
W
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
3 Aug
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
4–1
W
12 Jul
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
El Linqueño – last 6
DDWWWL
13 Aug
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Gimnasia Concepción
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
2–1
W
5 Jul
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores de Vilelas and El Linqueño.
What is the prediction for Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
On our numbers Defensores de Vilelas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and El Linqueño 17%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
Our predicted score is Defensores de Vilelas 1–0 El Linqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño?
Defensores de Vilelas vs El Linqueño (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
