Ajax v Shelbourne Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAjax to win ✓79% · @1.07

Double chanceAjax or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.35

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓8% · fair 12.18

Ajax vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 6 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Ajax against Shelbourne at Johan Cruijff Arena. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Ajax, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Volendam, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Shelbourne, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Waterford, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ajax, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Shelbourne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ajax 3.1 xG, Shelbourne 1.1 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ajax 79%, draw 14%, Shelbourne 7%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ajax79%fair 1.27 · @1.07

Draw14%fair 6.99 · @8.80

Shelbourne7%fair 14.21 · @25.00

4.17Expected goals

3.10Ajax xG

1.07Shelbourne xG

55%Both score

76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%

2–18%

3–08%

2–07%

4–16%

4–06%

From our goals model: Ajax 3.1 – 1.1 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ajax to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.07
Double chance	Ajax or draw ✓	93%	1.08	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.80	2.35 ▲
Draw no bet	Ajax (draw no bet) ✓	92%	1.09	–
Asian handicap	Ajax -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	57%	1.75	1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	1.45
First team to score	Ajax to score first ✓	73%	1.37	–
Half-time result	Ajax ahead at half-time ✓	59%	1.69	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ajax / FT Ajax ✓	55%	1.82	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–1 ✓	8%	12.18	–

Ajax – last 6

WWWWWD

2 Aug	@ FC Volendam	3–1	W
30 Jul	vs Vojvodina	4–1	W
26 Jul	vs Burnley	2–1	W
23 Jul	@ Vojvodina	4–1	W
18 Jul	vs Olympiakos Piraeus	1–0	W
15 Jul	vs VfL Bochum	1–1	D

2.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Shelbourne – last 6

LLWDDW

2 Aug	@ Waterford	0–1	L
30 Jul	@ Kalju Nomme	1–2	L
23 Jul	vs Kalju Nomme	5–2	W
17 Jul	@ Kerry	2–2	D
7 Jul	vs Celtic	1–1	D
3 Jul	vs Dundalk	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ajax vs Shelbourne?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Ajax vs Shelbourne?

On our numbers Ajax have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Shelbourne 7%.

How many goals will there be in Ajax vs Shelbourne?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs Shelbourne?

Our predicted score is Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Ajax vs Shelbourne?

Ajax vs Shelbourne (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ajax v Shelbourne: numbers & prediction