FC Lugano v NSI Runavik Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Lugano to win ✓75% · @1.11

Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.35

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63

FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Lugano welcome NSI Runavik to AIL Arena for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 6 August (19:30 WAT).

Current form

FC Lugano, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Grasshoppers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

NSI Runavik, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to HB Torshavn, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Lugano, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for NSI Runavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Lugano 2.5 xG, NSI Runavik 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Lugano 75%, draw 16%, NSI Runavik 9%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Lugano 2–1 NSI Runavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Lugano75%fair 1.33 · @1.11

Draw16%fair 6.30 · @7.30

NSI Runavik9%fair 11.30 · @20.00

3.39Expected goals

2.49FC Lugano xG

0.90NSI Runavik xG

52%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–19%

3–09%

1–08%

3–18%

1–18%

From our goals model: FC Lugano 2.5 – 0.9 NSI Runavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Lugano to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.11
Double chance	FC Lugano or draw ✓	91%	1.10	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	2.35 ▲
Draw no bet	FC Lugano (draw no bet) ✓	89%	1.12	–
Asian handicap	FC Lugano -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.50	1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	54%	1.85	1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	1.33
First team to score	FC Lugano to score first ✓	71%	1.41	–
Half-time result	FC Lugano ahead at half-time ✓	53%	1.88	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✓	49%	2.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.63	–

FC Lugano – last 6

WWWWLW

2 Aug	@ Grasshoppers	4–1	W
29 Jul	@ Dukagjini	5–1	W
26 Jul	vs FC Vaduz	2–1	W
23 Jul	vs Dukagjini	1–0	W
17 Jul	vs FC Vaduz	1–2	L
10 Jul	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1–0	W

2.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

NSI Runavik – last 6

LWLWDD

3 Aug	@ HB Torshavn	1–3	L
30 Jul	@ Koper	2–0	W
23 Jul	vs Koper	0–2	L
16 Jul	@ Hamrun Spartans	2–1	W
9 Jul	vs Hamrun Spartans	1–1	D
3 Jul	vs KI Klaksvik	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

On our numbers FC Lugano have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and NSI Runavik 9%.

How many goals will there be in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

Our predicted score is FC Lugano 2–1 NSI Runavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at AIL Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Lugano v NSI Runavik: numbers & prediction