Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultLithuania to win ✓60% · @1.65
Double chanceLithuania or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.30
Lithuania vs Andorra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 30 September the Friendlies brings Lithuania against Andorra at Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Lithuania, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Azerbaijan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Andorra, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gibraltar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lithuania, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Andorra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lithuania 1.3 xG, Andorra 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lithuania 60%, draw 26%, Andorra 14%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lithuania to win (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lithuania 1–0 Andorra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lithuania60%fair 1.66 · @1.65
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Andorra14%fair 7.16 · @5.50
1.71Expected goals
1.29Lithuania xG
0.42Andorra xG
43%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lithuania 1.3 – 0.4 Andorra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lithuania to win✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Double chance
Lithuania or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.55
Draw no bet
Lithuania (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Andorra +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Lithuania to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lithuania / FT Lithuania✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.30
–
Recent results
Lithuania – last 4
DWLW
27 Sep
vs Azerbaijan
1–1
D
24 Sep
@ Liechtenstein
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Georgia
0–2
L
26 Mar
@ Moldova
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Andorra – last 6
DLLWLD
27 Sep
@ Gibraltar
0–0
D
24 Sep
vs Malta
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Kosovo
0–3
L
4 Jun
vs Liechtenstein
2–0
W
29 May
@ Iraq
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ San Marino
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lithuania and Andorra.
Our pick is Lithuania to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Lithuania vs Andorra?
On our numbers Lithuania have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Andorra 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Andorra?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Andorra?
Our predicted score is Lithuania 1–0 Andorra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Lithuania vs Andorra?
Lithuania vs Andorra (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.