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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Papua New Guinea v Solomon Islands: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · HFC Bank Stadium

Papua New Guinea

LL
1–1
FT

Solomon Islands

DWLL
Papua New Guinea 31%Draw 23%Solomon Islands 46% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.81
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Solomon Islands to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSolomon Islands to win ✗46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96

Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

05:00 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Papua New Guinea v Solomon Islands in the Friendlies, played at HFC Bank Stadium.

Current form

Solomon Islands, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Vanuatu, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Papua New Guinea 1.4 xG, Solomon Islands 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Papua New Guinea 31%, draw 23%, Solomon Islands 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Solomon Islands to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Papua New Guinea 1–1 Solomon Islands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Papua New Guinea31%fair 3.23 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Solomon Islands46%fair 2.17 · @2.38
3.25Expected goals
1.44Papua New Guinea xG
1.81Solomon Islands xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%

From our goals model: Papua New Guinea 1.4 – 1.8 Solomon Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSolomon Islands to win ✗46%2.172.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.70 ▲
Draw no betSolomon Islands (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapPapua New Guinea +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreSolomon Islands to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Solomon Islands / FT Solomon Islands ✗28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.96–

Recent results

Papua New Guinea – last 2

LL
27 Sep@ Fiji0–2L
24 Sepvs New Caledonia1–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Solomon Islands – last 4

DWLL
24 Sepvs Vanuatu3–3D
21 Sep@ New Caledonia2–0W
30 Mar@ St. Kitts and Nevis2–4L
27 Marvs Bulgaria2–10L
2.3Scored / game
4.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands.

Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT USA4 Chile2 168%1.36X21%4.40210%6.00 2.6–1.0xG 1USA to win 68%@1.36 ✓
FT Mexico1 Peru1 169%1.36X18%4.20213%7.50 2.0–0.7xG 1Mexico to win 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Fiji2 New Caledonia1 162%1.67X23%3.80216%4.00 2.0–0.9xG 1XFiji or draw 84%@1.20 ✓
Cancelled Mauritius Djibouti 159%1.95X22%3.50219%3.50 1.7–0.8xG 1XMauritius or draw 81%@1.26
FT Seychelles0 Sri Lanka2 126%3.20X23%3.00250%2.10 1.5–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.85 ✗
FT Lithuania3 Andorra0 160%1.65X26%3.10214%5.50 1.3–0.4xG 1Lithuania to win 60%@1.65 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?

On our numbers Papua New Guinea have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Solomon Islands 46%.

How many goals will there be in Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?

Our predicted score is Papua New Guinea 1–1 Solomon Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?

Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at HFC Bank Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.