Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.26
9/10Rating
1.26Odds
1
Value bet: Mauritius to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMauritius to win59% · @1.95
Double chanceMauritius or draw81% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.40
Mauritius vs Djibouti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Djibouti travel to face Mauritius on Wednesday 30 September in the Friendlies – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mauritius 1.7 xG, Djibouti 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mauritius 59%, draw 22%, Djibouti 19%.
Lower-risk option: Mauritius or draw (81%) at 1.26.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Mauritius to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Mauritius or draw (81%, odds 1.26 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mauritius 1–0 Djibouti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mauritius59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Djibouti19%fair 5.26 · @3.50
2.57Expected goals
1.72Mauritius xG
0.85Djibouti xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Mauritius 1.7 – 0.8 Djibouti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mauritius to win
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Mauritius or draw
81%
1.23
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.80
Draw no bet
Mauritius (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Djibouti +1.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.05
First team to score
Mauritius to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mauritius / FT Mauritius
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Mauritius – last 2
DD
31 Mar
vs Somalia
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Somalia
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Djibouti – last 2
WL
29 Mar
@ South Sudan
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs South Sudan
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mauritius and Djibouti.
Our pick is Mauritius or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Mauritius vs Djibouti?
On our numbers Mauritius have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Djibouti 19%.
How many goals will there be in Mauritius vs Djibouti?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mauritius vs Djibouti?
Our predicted score is Mauritius 1–0 Djibouti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mauritius vs Djibouti?
Mauritius vs Djibouti (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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