Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultFiji to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceFiji or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.11
Fiji vs New Caledonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fiji welcome New Caledonia to HFC Bank Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Wednesday 30 September (08:00 WAT).
Current form
Fiji, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Papua New Guinea, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
New Caledonia, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Vanuatu, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiji 2.0 xG, New Caledonia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiji 62%, draw 23%, New Caledonia 16%.
Lower-risk option: Fiji or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fiji or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiji 1–0 New Caledonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiji62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.80
New Caledonia16%fair 6.40 · @4.00
2.86Expected goals
1.97Fiji xG
0.89New Caledonia xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fiji 2.0 – 0.9 New Caledonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiji to win✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Fiji or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
Fiji (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Fiji -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Fiji to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Fiji ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiji / FT Fiji✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Fiji – last 3
WLL
27 Sep
vs Papua New Guinea
2–0
W
21 Sep
vs Vanuatu
0–1
L
6 Jun
@ Vanuatu
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
New Caledonia – last 4
LWLL
27 Sep
@ Vanuatu
1–4
L
24 Sep
@ Papua New Guinea
2–1
W
21 Sep
vs Solomon Islands
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Jamaica
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiji and New Caledonia.
Our pick is Fiji or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fiji vs New Caledonia?
On our numbers Fiji have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New Caledonia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fiji vs New Caledonia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiji vs New Caledonia?
Our predicted score is Fiji 1–0 New Caledonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Fiji vs New Caledonia?
Fiji vs New Caledonia (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at HFC Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
USA4
Chile2
Mexico1
Peru1
Papua New Guinea1
Solomon Islands1
Mauritius
Djibouti
Seychelles0
Sri Lanka2
Lithuania3
Andorra0