Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Beit Shean to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Beit Shean to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.86
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 30 September the Liga Alef brings Hapoel Beit Shean against Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Beit Shean are 7th, upper half, on 32 points after 22 matches; Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hapoel Beit Shean, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tzeirey Tamra, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Ironi Baka El Garbiya, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Beit Shean 1.5 xG, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Beit Shean 49%, draw 21%, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 30%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Beit Shean to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Beit Shean 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Beit Shean49%fair 2.05 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Ironi Baka El Garbiya30%fair 3.35 · @2.70
2.60Expected goals
1.50Hapoel Beit Shean xG
1.10Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Beit Shean 1.5 – 1.1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Beit Shean to win✓
49%
2.05
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
Hapoel Beit Shean (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Baka El Garbiya +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Hapoel Beit Shean to score first
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Beit Shean / FT Hapoel Beit Shean✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Hapoel Beit Shean – last 3
LDW
23 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Tira
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 6
WDLDDL
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3–3
D
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Beit Shean and Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
On our numbers Hapoel Beit Shean have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 30%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Beit Shean 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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