Maccabi Ashdod v Holon Yermiyahu Prediction & Expected Goals (30 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHolon Yermiyahu to win ✗41% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.41

Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Maccabi Ashdod welcome Holon Yermiyahu for a Liga Alef fixture on Wednesday 30 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Maccabi Ashdod are 10th, lower half, on 28 points after 21 matches; Holon Yermiyahu are 11th (lower half) with 24.

Current form

Maccabi Ashdod, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hapoel Hadera, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Holon Yermiyahu, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kfar Saba 1928, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Holon Yermiyahu, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Maccabi Ashdod.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi Ashdod 1.0 xG, Holon Yermiyahu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi Ashdod 37%, draw 23%, Holon Yermiyahu 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi Ashdod 1–1 Holon Yermiyahu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maccabi Ashdod37%fair 2.74 · @2.50

Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20

Holon Yermiyahu41%fair 2.44 · @2.50

2.13Expected goals

1.02Maccabi Ashdod xG

1.11Holon Yermiyahu xG

56%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–113%

1–012%

0–012%

1–27%

0–27%

From our goals model: Maccabi Ashdod 1.0 – 1.1 Holon Yermiyahu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Holon Yermiyahu to win ✗	41%	2.44	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.78	1.80
Draw no bet	Holon Yermiyahu (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Maccabi Ashdod +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.07	–
First team to score	Holon Yermiyahu to score first ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Holon Yermiyahu / FT Holon Yermiyahu ✗	21%	4.76	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.41	–

Maccabi Ashdod – last 6

DDDLDD

24 Sep	@ Hapoel Hadera	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs Ironi Beit Shemesh	2–2	D
9 Sep	@ FC Jerusalem	1–1	D
3 Sep	vs Hapoel Herzliya	1–2	L
27 Feb	@ Hapoel Marmorek	1–1	D
13 Feb	@ FC Jerusalem	3–3	D

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Holon Yermiyahu – last 6

WLWDDW

24 Sep	vs Kfar Saba 1928	1–0	W
17 Sep	@ Shimshon Tel Aviv	1–3	L
9 Sep	vs Hapoel Marmorek	1–0	W
4 Sep	vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	0–0	D
20 Feb	@ Maccabi Yavne	1–1	D
13 Feb	vs Beitar Yavne	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	+35	55
2	FC Jerusalem	22	11	4	7	+16	37
3	Dimona	22	11	4	7	-1	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	+14	36
5	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	0	35
6	Tzeirey Tira	21	10	3	8	+9	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	0	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	-7	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	-3	29
10	Maccabi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	+2	28
11	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	-3	24
12	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	-14	24
13	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	-3	23
14	Hapoel Herzliya	22	5	7	10	-14	22
15	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	22	5	5	12	-19	19
16	Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	-12	15

Team

Pts

+35

+16

-1

+14

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

-7

-3

-3

-14

-3

-14

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

-19

Nordia Jerusalem

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu?

On our numbers Maccabi Ashdod have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Holon Yermiyahu 41%.

How many goals will there be in Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu?

Our predicted score is Maccabi Ashdod 1–1 Holon Yermiyahu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu?

Maccabi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Maccabi Ashdod v Holon Yermiyahu: numbers & prediction