Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: FC Jerusalem to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Jerusalem to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceFC Jerusalem or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 30 September the Liga Alef brings Tzeirey Tira against FC Jerusalem. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Tzeirey Tira are 6th, upper half, on 33 points after 21 matches; FC Jerusalem are 2nd (among the top four) with 37.
Current form
Tzeirey Tira, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Herzliya, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
FC Jerusalem, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maccabi Yavne, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours FC Jerusalem, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.6 for Tzeirey Tira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tzeirey Tira 0.7 xG, FC Jerusalem 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tzeirey Tira 15%, draw 21%, FC Jerusalem 64%.
Lower-risk option: FC Jerusalem or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: FC Jerusalem to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Jerusalem or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tzeirey Tira 0–1 FC Jerusalem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tzeirey Tira15%fair 6.60 · @3.75
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.60
FC Jerusalem64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
2.50Expected goals
0.71Tzeirey Tira xG
1.79FC Jerusalem xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Tzeirey Tira 0.7 – 1.8 FC Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Jerusalem to win✓
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
FC Jerusalem or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
FC Jerusalem (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
FC Jerusalem -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
FC Jerusalem to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
FC Jerusalem ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Jerusalem / FT FC Jerusalem✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Tzeirey Tira – last 5
LLLLW
23 Sep
@ Hapoel Herzliya
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Azor
0–2
L
3 Sep
vs Hapoel Sderot
1–4
L
19 Feb
@ Dimona
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Nordia Jerusalem
5–2
W
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
FC Jerusalem – last 6
DWDWWW
24 Sep
vs Maccabi Yavne
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Nordia Jerusalem
3–1
W
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Ashdod
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Kfar Saba 1928
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Dimona
4–1
W
20 Feb
@ Nordia Jerusalem
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tzeirey Tira and FC Jerusalem.
What is the prediction for Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem?
Our pick is FC Jerusalem or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem?
On our numbers Tzeirey Tira have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Jerusalem 64%.
How many goals will there be in Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem?
Our predicted score is Tzeirey Tira 0–1 FC Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem?
Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan2
Tira3
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Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik0
Hapoel Hadera4
Hapoel Nazareth Illit2
Tzeirey Tamra3