Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SC Freiburg v Motherwell: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Europa-Park-Stadion

SC Freiburg

WWWWW
4–1
FT

Motherwell

LDWDD
SC Freiburg 74%Draw 19%Motherwell 6% Expected goals 2.42 – 0.67
74%
Betarazi pick

SC Freiburg to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSC Freiburg to win ✓74% · @1.22
Double chanceSC Freiburg or draw ✓94% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Motherwell travel to face SC Freiburg on Thursday 27 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Europa-Park-Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT.

Current form

SC Freiburg, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Fortuna Düsseldorf, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Motherwell, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to SC Freiburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours SC Freiburg, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Motherwell.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Motherwell 1–3 SC Freiburg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SC Freiburg 2.4 xG, Motherwell 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SC Freiburg 74%, draw 19%, Motherwell 6%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was SC Freiburg to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Freiburg 2–0 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SC Freiburg74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @6.20
Motherwell6%fair 15.59 · @11.50
3.09Expected goals
2.42SC Freiburg xG
0.67Motherwell xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%

From our goals model: SC Freiburg 2.4 – 0.7 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSC Freiburg to win ✓74%1.351.22
Double chanceSC Freiburg or draw ✓94%1.071.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.91
Draw no betSC Freiburg (draw no bet) ✓92%1.09–
Asian handicapSC Freiburg -1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.681.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.301.28
First team to scoreSC Freiburg to score first75%1.34–
Half-time resultSC Freiburg ahead at half-time ✗55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg ✗52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.20–

Recent results

SC Freiburg – last 6

WWWWWL
23 Aug@ Fortuna Düsseldorf5–1W
20 Aug@ Motherwell3–1W
15 Augvs Crystal Palace3–0W
8 Augvs Strasbourg2–0W
24 Julvs Derby3–1W
20 Mayvs Aston Villa0–3L
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Motherwell – last 6

LDWDDW
20 Augvs SC Freiburg1–3L
16 Aug@ Stenhousemuir0–0D
13 Augvs HJK Helsinki2–0W
9 Augvs Falkirk0–0D
6 Aug@ HJK Helsinki1–1D
2 Aug@ Hibernian2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Aug 2026Motherwell v SC Freiburg1–3
SC Freiburg vs Motherwell head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT KuPS1 Shamrock Rovers0 147%1.96X23%3.30231%3.90 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT FK Jablonec1 Rangers0 Pens 4–3 146%2.88X22%3.35232%2.35 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Maccabi Tel Aviv1 FC Lugano1 138%2.30X21%3.50241%2.85 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Qarabag1 Twente2 AET 1–4 138%3.10X21%3.50240%2.18 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Monaco4 Gornik Zabrze1 165%1.35X22%4.85213%8.20 2.8–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.55 ✓
FT Brann3 PAOK2 139%2.88X22%3.35239%2.36 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT FC Copenhagen4 Inter Turku1 174%1.29X18%5.2028%9.60 2.3–0.7xG 1FC Copenhagen to win 74%@1.29 ✓
FT Hradec Králové1 Panathinaikos1 AET 1–2 131%3.35X22%3.35247%2.12 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

Our pick is SC Freiburg to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Motherwell 6%.

How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 2–0 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.