Qarabag v Twente Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTwente to win ✓40% · @2.18

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.83

Qarabag vs Twente: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 27 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Qarabag against Twente at Tofiq Bəhramov. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Qarabag, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Twente, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Twente, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Qarabag, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Qarabag, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Twente.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Twente 0–1 Qarabag.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 1.4 xG, Twente 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 38%, draw 21%, Twente 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Qarabag to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 1–1 Twente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qarabag38%fair 2.61 · @3.10

Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50

Twente40%fair 2.48 · @2.18

2.78Expected goals

1.37Qarabag xG

1.41Twente xG

59%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–08%

1–28%

2–18%

0–06%

From our goals model: Qarabag 1.4 – 1.4 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Twente to win ✓	40%	2.48	2.18
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.62
Draw no bet	Twente (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.95	–
Asian handicap	Qarabag +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.44	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.12
First team to score	Twente to score first	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Twente / FT Twente ✗	22%	4.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	8%	11.83	–

Qarabag – last 6

WWWLDD

20 Aug	@ Twente	1–0	W
17 Aug	vs Şamaxı FK	3–1	W
13 Aug	vs Dynamo Kyiv	2–0	W
6 Aug	@ Dynamo Kyiv	0–1	L
30 Jul	@ CSKA Sofia	0–0	D
23 Jul	vs CSKA Sofia	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Twente – last 6

LWDLWL

20 Aug	vs Qarabag	0–1	L
16 Aug	vs PEC Zwolle	3–1	W
13 Aug	@ Dunajska Streda	3–3	D
9 Aug	@ Heerenveen	0–1	L
6 Aug	vs Dunajska Streda	6–0	W
2 Aug	@ Genk	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qarabag vs Twente?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Qarabag vs Twente?

On our numbers Qarabag have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Twente 40%.

How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Twente?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Twente?

Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–1 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Qarabag vs Twente?

Qarabag vs Twente (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bəhramov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Qarabag v Twente: numbers & prediction

Qarabag

Twente

Over 1.5 goals

Picks by market

Qarabag vs Twente: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Qarabag – last 6

Twente – last 6

Head to head

UEFA Europa Conference League table

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions