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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maccabi Tel Aviv v FC Lugano: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Batumi Arena

Maccabi Tel Aviv

WLWWL
1–1
FT

FC Lugano

WWDWW
Maccabi Tel Aviv 38%Draw 21%FC Lugano 41% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.51
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Lugano to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Lugano travel to face Maccabi Tel Aviv on Thursday 27 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Batumi Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Maccabi Tel Aviv, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Hapoel Katamon, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FC Lugano, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours FC Lugano, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended FC Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.4 xG, FC Lugano 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi Tel Aviv 38%, draw 21%, FC Lugano 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: FC Lugano to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 FC Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maccabi Tel Aviv38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
FC Lugano41%fair 2.46 · @2.85
2.95Expected goals
1.45Maccabi Tel Aviv xG
1.51FC Lugano xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.4 – 1.5 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Lugano to win ✗41%2.462.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.65
Draw no betFC Lugano (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapMaccabi Tel Aviv +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.12
First team to scoreFC Lugano to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

Maccabi Tel Aviv – last 6

WLWWLW
23 Aug@ Hapoel Katamon5–2W
20 Aug@ FC Lugano1–2L
16 Aug@ Maccabi Netanya1–0W
13 Aug@ CSKA Sofia3–1W
6 Augvs CSKA Sofia0–3L
30 Julvs Sheriff Tiraspol1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Lugano – last 6

WWDWWW
20 Augvs Maccabi Tel Aviv2–1W
16 Aug@ Vedeggio10–1W
13 Aug@ NSI Runavik2–2D
9 Augvs FC Zurich5–0W
6 Augvs NSI Runavik2–0W
2 Aug@ Grasshoppers4–1W
4.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Aug 2026FC Lugano v Maccabi Tel Aviv2–1
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT KuPS1 Shamrock Rovers0 147%1.96X23%3.30231%3.90 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT FK Jablonec1 Rangers0 Pens 4–3 146%2.88X22%3.35232%2.35 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Qarabag1 Twente2 AET 1–4 138%3.10X21%3.50240%2.18 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT SC Freiburg4 Motherwell1 174%1.22X19%6.2026%11.50 2.4–0.7xG 1SC Freiburg to win 74%@1.22 ✓
FT Monaco4 Gornik Zabrze1 165%1.35X22%4.85213%8.20 2.8–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.55 ✓
FT Brann3 PAOK2 139%2.88X22%3.35239%2.36 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT FC Copenhagen4 Inter Turku1 174%1.29X18%5.2028%9.60 2.3–0.7xG 1FC Copenhagen to win 74%@1.29 ✓
FT Hradec Králové1 Panathinaikos1 AET 1–2 131%3.35X22%3.35247%2.12 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

On our numbers Maccabi Tel Aviv have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Lugano 41%.

How many goals will there be in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

Our predicted score is Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Batumi Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.