Monaco v Gornik Zabrze Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMonaco to win ✓65% · @1.35

Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓87% · @1.07

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.75

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.55

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Monaco welcome Gornik Zabrze to Stade Louis II for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 27 August (17:45 WAT).

Current form

Monaco, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Le Havre, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Gornik Zabrze, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Monaco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Monaco, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Gornik Zabrze.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Gornik Zabrze 2–3 Monaco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monaco 2.8 xG, Gornik Zabrze 1.3 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Monaco 65%, draw 22%, Gornik Zabrze 13%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monaco 2–1 Gornik Zabrze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monaco65%fair 1.53 · @1.35

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.85

Gornik Zabrze13%fair 7.79 · @8.20

4.07Expected goals

2.77Monaco xG

1.30Gornik Zabrze xG

63%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

3–18%

2–07%

1–16%

3–06%

2–26%

From our goals model: Monaco 2.8 – 1.3 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Monaco to win ✓	65%	1.53	1.35
Double chance	Monaco or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.07
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.75 ▲
Draw no bet	Monaco (draw no bet) ✓	84%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Monaco -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.55 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.96	1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	69%	1.44	1.22
First team to score	Monaco to score first ✓	67%	1.50	–
Half-time result	Monaco ahead at half-time ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Monaco / FT Monaco ✓	46%	2.17	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.74	–

Monaco – last 6

WWLWWD

23 Aug	@ Le Havre	1–0	W
20 Aug	@ Gornik Zabrze	3–2	W
14 Aug	@ Coventry	0–2	L
9 Aug	@ Liverpool	3–2	W
6 Aug	vs Getafe	1–0	W
31 Jul	vs Cercle Brugge	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

LWDWLD

20 Aug	vs Monaco	2–3	L
16 Aug	vs Wisla Krakow	2–1	W
13 Aug	vs Ferencvarosi TC	1–1	D
8 Aug	@ Radomiak Radom	3–1	W
5 Aug	@ Ferencvarosi TC	0–1	L
29 Jul	vs Fenerbahçe	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

On our numbers Monaco have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gornik Zabrze 13%.

How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Our predicted score is Monaco 2–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Monaco v Gornik Zabrze: numbers & prediction

Monaco

Gornik Zabrze

Over 2.5 goals

Picks by market

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Monaco – last 6

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

Head to head

UEFA Europa Conference League table

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions