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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

KuPS v Shamrock Rovers: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS

LDWLD
1–0
FT
KuPS 47%Draw 23%Shamrock Rovers 31% Expected goals 1.23 – 0.91
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 3.90 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKuPS to win ✓47% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.33

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shamrock Rovers travel to face KuPS on Thursday 27 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Savon Sanomat Areena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

KuPS, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Mariehamn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Shamrock Rovers, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KuPS, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for KuPS.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPS.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give KuPS 1.2 xG, Shamrock Rovers 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – KuPS 47%, draw 23%, Shamrock Rovers 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Shamrock Rovers to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

KuPS47%fair 2.14 · @1.96
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Shamrock Rovers31%fair 3.27 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.23KuPS xG
0.91Shamrock Rovers xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: KuPS 1.2 – 0.9 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKuPS to win ✓47%2.141.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%2.002.05
Draw no betKuPS (draw no bet) ✓60%1.65–
Asian handicapShamrock Rovers +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.561.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.091.05
First team to scoreKuPS to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT KuPS / FT KuPS ✗25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.33–

Recent results

KuPS – last 6

LDWLDD
23 Augvs Mariehamn2–4L
20 Aug@ Shamrock Rovers1–1D
16 Aug@ Lahti2–1W
13 Aug@ Universitatea Craiova1–2L
9 Augvs Turku PS1–1D
6 Augvs Universitatea Craiova1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shamrock Rovers – last 6

DDLWWD
20 Augvs KuPS1–1D
16 Aug@ St Patrick's Athl.2–2D
13 Aug@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–5L
7 Augvs Dundalk3–2W
4 Augvs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–1W
31 Jul@ Drogheda United0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Aug 2026Shamrock Rovers v KuPS1–1
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

On our numbers KuPS have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shamrock Rovers 31%.

How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our predicted score is KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Savon Sanomat Areena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.