Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 3.90 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKuPS to win ✓47% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.33
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shamrock Rovers travel to face KuPS on Thursday 27 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Savon Sanomat Areena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
KuPS, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Mariehamn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Shamrock Rovers, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KuPS, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for KuPS.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KuPS 1.2 xG, Shamrock Rovers 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KuPS 47%, draw 23%, Shamrock Rovers 31%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Shamrock Rovers to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KuPS47%fair 2.14 · @1.96
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Shamrock Rovers31%fair 3.27 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.23KuPS xG
0.91Shamrock Rovers xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.2 – 0.9 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers KuPS have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shamrock Rovers 31%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Savon Sanomat Areena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.