Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Borgosesia vs Sestri Levante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Borgosesia welcome Sestri Levante for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Borgosesia are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Sestri Levante are 12th (lower half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Borgosesia, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chisola, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sestri Levante, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Biellese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borgosesia 1.3 xG, Sestri Levante 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borgosesia 43%, draw 23%, Sestri Levante 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borgosesia 1–1 Sestri Levante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borgosesia43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Sestri Levante34%fair 2.95 · @3.10
2.46Expected goals
1.33Borgosesia xG
1.13Sestri Levante xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Borgosesia 1.3 – 1.1 Sestri Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borgosesia to win✗
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Borgosesia (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Sestri Levante +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Borgosesia to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borgosesia / FT Borgosesia✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.80
–
Recent results
Borgosesia – last 5
DWDDL
30 Sep
@ Chisola
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Bra
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Gozzano
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Saluzzo
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Sestri Levante – last 6
LDLLWW
27 Sep
vs Biellese
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Lascaris
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Fezzanese
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Alessandria
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Sampdoria U20
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borgosesia and Sestri Levante.
What is the prediction for Borgosesia vs Sestri Levante?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Borgosesia vs Sestri Levante?
On our numbers Borgosesia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sestri Levante 34%.
How many goals will there be in Borgosesia vs Sestri Levante?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borgosesia vs Sestri Levante?
Our predicted score is Borgosesia 1–1 Sestri Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Borgosesia vs Sestri Levante?
Borgosesia vs Sestri Levante (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
